澳洲联储公布利率决议,将10月现金利率下调25个基点至0.75%,此为澳联储5个月内第3次降息,之前澳联储在6月和7月连续两个月降息,各降息25个基点。
市场和大多数澳洲经济学家经预料到澳联储主席菲利普洛伊此次将降息,但是他本人却给出了混杂的信息。
之前交易员预计澳洲联储政策委员会在墨尔本开会时把现金利率降至0.75%的可能性超过70%,参与调查的27位经济学家中有20人预计会降息。他们的观点基于一系列全球风险。此外,澳洲国内失业率上升,信心下降。
上周,洛伊在一个演讲中承认很可能需要进一步降息。他说, 澳洲联储不会对美国和欧洲同行的宽松政策无动于衷,否则澳元将飙升并损害经济增长。然而,他在讲话中也三次提到经济正处于“温和转折点”,并有可能自此开始走强。与此同时,他拒绝讨论就本次会议的决定。
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