英国传染病学家莱利教授表示,英国疫情很有可能在进入秋季后加剧。
莱利解释说,英国的学生现在正在放假,加上许多成年人在居家办公,社交活动又多以室外为主,因此境内的单日新增确诊病例在7月中旬破5万后,目前得以稳定在2万宗左右。但他直言,从9月开始情况或会发生变化。
曾在2020年英国疫情初期以建模方式帮助政府制定管控措施的英国传染病专家弗格森7月曾预测,由于大规模解封,年内英国疫情可能会出现每日新增10万到20万宗确诊病例的情况。
另一方面,根据英国11日发布的数据显示,过去的24小时新增了2万9612宗确诊病例,累计确诊病例达617万5919宗;新增死亡病例104宗,这已是连续两天超过100宗,累计死亡病例达13万917宗。
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